arlin report thought(s) of the day: a little online horse race betting…….today..ouch!


Racing expert Lou Monaco provides picks for Oaklawn Park today ...

What I like most about going to the track……..the BEAUTY of the HORSES.

I normally write my thought(s) of the day earlier in the day, most often early morning. This morning I didn’t really give the coronavirus thing much thought. When it dominates the news (which reminds me of the Vietnam War when it took up all the news for many years), its not that difficult to kick it out of your mind by just not turning on the TV.

So, rather than turning on the holier than thou news programs etc., I went online and did a little betting on the ponies. I love horse racing, and I have always said if I lived near (by near I mean down the block or two a about ohhhhh 5 miles or so) a track I’d either be living in a shack or a mansion. Most likely it would the shack. I am however proud to say I can control my betting. When I go to a track, I only take so much money, an amount I can afford to lose. The debit card stays in the wallet, and I have never had a temptation to use it, when I am on a bad night and the cash has dwindled. I just accept my loses. And yes I have gone home ahead a few times. I also am good at pacing out my bets………. and limiting each race. If I get to the end of the night, I may anti-up a bit, depending on how well I did earlier. I have an account for online betting, and its nice to do, when you can’t actually be at a track right now. The online betting allows me to bet at tracks I would not otherwise have the opportunity. Todays bets took me from Florida….. to Oklahoma. There are only a few tracks operating right now and they are without spectators. The races are live!

Today, was a weird day of betting on the horses. I don’t always bet on the favorite and it depends on the odds. But in some races the odds on favorite can be a safe bet, even if its 6-5 or 7-5. However, today was not the case. I followed/bet on about 8 races today, jumping from one track to another track, which you can do because of time you have in between races and the tracks offset their post times to enable online betters to do as such. Anyway, back to what took place today. NONE of the favored horses and I mean none, not even the ones that were 1-1 or 4/5 odds won their races. It didn’t matter what the odds were, the favored horses in these races today did not win. I have never seen this before. You can go to the track and if there are 10 races, you can bet that in 3-4 of those races the favored horse will win. Now making a $2 bet for a horse to win if the odds on that horse was 6/5 your not going to win a lot. Naturally the more you bet on a winning horse the more you win. Where you win is if you place a bet on a horse with higher odds say 7-1. But normally the safer bet is the favorite. NOT TODAY. I did bet on the favored horse several times today………zilch. Sometimes I bet on the favorite by placing a show bet down, I bet that he/she at least finishes in 3rd. I’ll do that if the favorite is 3-1, there is an even greater chance the favorite will at least finish in the top three spots. Trouble is if he wins, you only get the show money (which happened for me today a few times). I know I am not telling all you people how you should bet. I really only meant to say that, the favorite horses in these races today did not win. NOT ONCE! Like I said that never happens. I recognized the trend half way through, adjusted by not betting on the favorite, except maybe to show (unless the odds gave very little pay back). Middle of the pack horses were the horses to bet today. One horse at 21-1 odds won a race, I never even gave that horse consideration. Occasionally I make a low bet on a horse with those kind of odds or greater like 50-1…….. because the payoffs are great. It just doesn’t happen much. 2-1…..3-1 4,5, 6, & 7-1 odds are my favorite odds to bet.

Needless to say, I lost a grand total of $28.00 today. My losses were obviously higher than my winning. Now………. Lone Cactus go explain that to Joe Biden. 🙂

10 thoughts on “arlin report thought(s) of the day: a little online horse race betting…….today..ouch!”

  1. HUGS TO EVERYONE DEALING WITH THIS INSANITY!!!—I HAVE BECOME SUNK, AS MARTA HAS SUSPENDED NUMEROUS PUBLIC BUS ROUTES, UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE, ONE OF THE ROUTES WAS MINE, THAT STOPS OUTSIDE OUR APARTMENT COMPLEX. FORTUNATELY I HAVE A PUBLIX GROCERY STORE AND PHARMACY THAT I CAN WALK TO. ALSO, HAVE A QUICK TRIP CONVIENCE STORE WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE ACROSS THE STREET, FRANKLY I COULD USE A BOTTLE OF SOMETHING NOW.

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  2. Joe Biden says you’re one of the “richest 1%” that need to be taxed a LOT higher than you are if you can afford to lose $28 at the track! I told him, I know you and didn’t think you fit that category…and he challenged you to doing push ups. Personally, I think you’ll beat him. So, I put $10 on you to do more pushups than Joe Biden. Hmmm….this could be the start of a winning streak!!!

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    1. LOL, I rather have a boxing match with him. I’d put $20 I knock him out, one punch. 🙂 Hey, the guy in Cleveland ask me to give you a shout out, if you’ve heard anything from your contacts about that movie idea (Cleveland mob thing, around that amusement park construction)? He ask me to ask you. So, I’m asking? LOL. Hope this finds you and your wife healthy……wealthy and wise!

      Liked by 1 person

      1. I turned him onto my buddy who does sports here on the local Fox affiliate, who is from his old neighborhood in Cleveland. That’s the last I’ve heard from either of them. I know Jude (my friend) is getting ready to retire from the sports job, so he may be looking at other things right now. Your Cleveland buddy has his email, I know, so he could ask him directly. I haven’t had any contact with either of them over this since I introduced them.

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    2. FRANKLY JOE BIDEN IS NOT TAXED, COMPARED TO OUR SUFFERING OF BLOOD, SWEAT, AND TEARS IN WHICH HE KNOWS NOTHING ABOUT. FRANKLY BIDEN IS NOT A PUSHUP, HE IS A PUSHDOWN, AND WE NEED TO KEEP OUR FEET ON HIS BACK, SO THAT HE WILL NEVER HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO KNOW WHAT A PUSHUP IS. THIS IS JUST A MATTER OF SELF DEFENSE!!!

      Liked by 1 person

      1. My Atlanta sweetheart, we Lone Cactus and I were joking about trying to explain the art of betting on horses to Joe Biden, that he wouldn’t catch on. He came back with a crazy response, one we’d expect from Biden, which would probably be accurate. Have a great day!

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  3. WE DO NEED TO FOCUS ON OTHER MATTERS IN OUR LIVES, NOT EVERYTHING CAN JUST SURROUND THE COVID-19 VIRUS. IT WILL SEEM TO ME, THAT THIS STORY IS ENGRAVED IN STONE, AND NOT LIKELY TO DISAPPEAR ANY TIME SOON, EVEN IF EVERYTHING SO CALLED GETS BACK TO NORMAL. I WAS RISED IN A CITY THAT CONTAINED A RACE TRACK, IN HIALEAH, FLORIDA. WHAT A GORGEOUS PARK IT WAS. I WAS ALLOWED INTO THE RACE TRACK EVERY YEAR, WHEN THEY HAD FAMILY DAY, AND PARENTS COULD BRING CHILDREN. THEY A WONDERFUL RESTAURANT, AND BEAUTIFUL FLAMINGO BIRDS. IT WAS CHARMING INDEED.

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